MEMORY & STORAGE TECHNOLOGY RESEARCHEST. 2026 · VANCOUVER

TECHNOLOGY → ECONOMICS → CYCLE → VALUATION

Technology.
Cycles.
Implications.

Investment intelligence for people who need to understand not only what changed in memory and storage—but when it matters, who it affects, and what the market has already priced in.

MEMORY CYCLE SCOREBeta snapshot

Illustrative private-beta indicators. Direction matters more than the absolute score.

DRAM+2TIGHTENING
HBM+2EXPANSION
NAND+1IMPROVING
ENTERPRISE SSD+2ACCELERATING
NEARLINE HDD+1CONSTRUCTIVE
01 / LATEST RESEARCH

Less news.
More accumulated knowledge.

We publish only when new information changes our view of supply, demand, technology, competitive position or valuation.

TECHNOLOGY INTELLIGENCE
02

HBM4 is not simply faster memory

Yield, advanced packaging and the HBM-to-DRAM trade ratio may reshape producer economics well beyond the AI accelerator market.

THESIS BREAKER
03

The strongest case against the memory upcycle

A disciplined review of China capacity, capex acceleration, AI concentration and the path from shortage to oversupply.

02 / THE RESEARCH FRANCHISE

Five systems.
One investment view.

A research architecture designed to compound knowledge—not a content machine optimized for daily volume.

A

Memory Cycle Intelligence

A continuously updated view of pricing, inventory, utilization, bit growth, capex and demand—summarized in a directional cycle score.

B

Company Intelligence

Living research files that track roadmaps, capacity, costs, customers, guidance history, valuation and what changed since last quarter.

C

Technology Intelligence

HBM, advanced NAND, HAMR, CXL and AI storage translated into economics, competitive position and investable consequences.

D

Competitive Intelligence

Yield, node, cost, qualification, product mix and pricing power—not market share alone.

E

Investment Intelligence

Business quality, cycle position, earnings trajectory, expectations, valuation, catalysts, downside and thesis breakers.

03 / INDUSTRY MAP

Core coverage.
System-wide context.

Seven core companies sit at the center. The research boundary extends wherever supply, demand or technology can change their economics.

01CORE MEMORY

DRAM · HBM · NAND · NOR

Micron · SK Hynix · Samsung · SanDisk · Kioxia

02STORAGE

Enterprise SSD · Nearline HDD · HAMR

Western Digital · Seagate · Solidigm · Phison

03CHINA

The next cycle variable

CXMT · YMTC · domestic equipment ecosystem

04SUPPLY CHAIN

Capacity and bottlenecks

Lam · Applied · ASML · TEL · TSMC · ASE · Amkor

05DEMAND

AI infrastructure and end markets

NVIDIA · AMD · AWS · Google · Meta · Microsoft

04 / THE LONGITUDINAL DATASET

The moat is
the memory.

Every quarter becomes structured, comparable and searchable. After twenty quarters, the archive becomes a proprietary, investor-oriented record of the industry cycle.

View the forecast discipline
LIVE COMPANY FILE

Micron Intelligence

MU
WHAT CHANGED SINCE LAST QUARTER?
REVENUE$—

Awaiting quarter close

DRAM ASP

Sequential direction

NAND BITS

Shipment trend

GROSS MARGIN

Model under review

INVENTORY DAYS

Cycle signal

CAPEX

Supply response

Technology roadmapGuidance historyValuationThesis breakers
05 / FORECAST LEDGER

Every forecast
leaves a record.

We attach a date, probability and explicit bull/bear conditions to every major cycle call—then review what we got right, what we missed and why.

BASE CASE · AUGUST 2026

Conventional DRAM remains structurally constrained through H2 2027.

65%
BULL CASE

HBM conversion constrains conventional DRAM for longer than expected.

BEAR CASE

CXMT expansion combines with a material hyperscaler capex slowdown.

NEXT REVIEW · NOV 2026OPEN FORECAST
06 / RESEARCH OPERATING SYSTEM

Interpretation
that compounds.

News is a raw input. Each meaningful development must update a model, a company file, a cycle score or a forecast. If it changes none of them, it probably does not deserve publication.

  1. 01
    Know the cyclePricing · Inventory · Capacity · Capex
  2. 02
    Estimate expectationsConsensus · Valuation · Positioning
  3. 03
    Adjust exposureConviction · Risk · Time horizon
FOUNDER-LED · INSTITUTION-BUILT

Memory Capex

An independent research project founded by Majid Asli, focused on connecting memory and storage technology, industry cycles and investment decision-making. Built in English from day one for a global research archive.

PRIVATE BETA · STAGE ONE

Building the track record
before the paywall.

Initial research will focus on proof of expertise, methodology and a clean historical record. No subscriptions. No daily content quota. No investment recommendations.

Request beta access